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Madrid Masters Clash: Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerúndolo Set for High-Stakes Semifinal at Mutua Madrid Open 2025


🎾 Madrid Masters Clash: Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerúndolo Set for High-Stakes Semifinal at Mutua Madrid Open 2025

The clay heats up in Madrid as Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerúndolo go head-to-head in a highly anticipated semifinal showdown at the Mutua Madrid Open 2025. These familiar rivals, both hungry for a breakthrough title, meet once again on the big stage—this time with a spot in the final on the line.

📺 Where to Watch: Live stream the match on TennisChannel.com
🕙 Start Time: Friday, May 2 at approximately 10 a.m. ET


⚔️ Rivalry Rekindled: Ruud vs Cerúndolo – Who Has the Edge?

Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerúndolo have crossed paths before in critical matches, most notably during the 2022 Miami Open semifinals, where Ruud came out on top. But since then, their careers have taken contrasting turns.

Ruud, a former world No. 2, has reached three Grand Slam finals but has struggled to find consistent form since dropping out of the Top 10 in late 2023. That said, the Norwegian looks dialed in this week, delivering dominant wins over Sebastian Korda, Taylor Fritz, and a huge quarterfinal victory over Daniil Medvedev.

Meanwhile, Cerúndolo is quietly climbing the rankings ladder. After finishing 2024 just outside the Top 20, the Argentine is on the verge of breaking into a new career-high territory. He comes into this semifinal with a 5-3 head-to-head edge over Ruud and showcased serious grit by rallying from behind against Jakub Mensik, the reigning Miami Open champion.


💰 Betting Odds and Prediction

  • Casper Ruud: -125 (favorite)
  • Francisco Cerúndolo: -102 (underdog)
  • Win Probability: Ruud 54.3%

With the head-to-head close and both players in strong form, this matchup promises to be tight. However, Ruud’s big-match experience and fresher legs could give him the edge on the clay courts of Caja Mágica.

🏆 Prediction: Expect Ruud to hold his nerve and book his ticket to the Madrid final, where he could face either Jack Draper or Lorenzo Musetti.


🎯 What’s at Stake?

The winner of this battle will move on to the Mutua Madrid Open final, facing either No. 5 seed Jack Draper or No. 10 Lorenzo Musetti. For Ruud, it’s a chance to finally capture that elusive Masters title. For Cerúndolo, it’s a golden opportunity to make the biggest final of his career.

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